Career College Stats
2019 Post-NFL Draft Fantasy Football Outlook
Round Drafted: 3.32 (96th Overall)
Team: Buffalo Bills
Current TE Depth: Tyler Kroft, Lee Smith, Jason Croom, Tommy Sweeney
Player Comp: Benjamin Watson
First off, I don’t know how many of y’all are aware of Vance Joy, one of my favorite artists putting out that sweet love-making music right now, but my guy Dawson Knox looks EXACTLY like em in his PlayerProfiler pic:
Dawson Knox from Ole Miss is one of the more intriguing rookie fantasy options at the TE position because he flies so low under-the-rade thanks to the big names on top and the depth of this class. However, Knox finessed his way into the 3rd round of the NFL Draft, on his way to make Bills Mafia proud, thanks to a stellar combine performance. His 4.64 40-yard dash time (84th percentile weight-adjusted) was phenomenal give his size (6’4-254). His athleticism profile gives him an automatic fantasy ceiling that a lot of mid-range tight ends don’t have. To say he was productive in college would be a Michael Jordan via Spack Jam dunk type reach – the guy didn’t score a single receiving touchdown while at Ole Miss in four seasons. He redshirted his freshman year, threw up donuts the following season, before deciding to bless us with his “breakout” 24-321-13.4 in 2017.
But, as we always do, it’s important to take things into context. I repeat, he went to Ole Miss. Meaning, Knox was competing for targets with three legitimate NFL WRs – A.J. Brown, D.K. Metcalf and DaMarkus Lodge.
That being said, we’re going off of a lot of speculations and theoretical upside. The athletic measurables are phenomenal, the 3rd round draft capital is warming, but landing in Buffalo could be a blessing in disguise. The Bills signed the former Bengals tight end to a three-year, $18.75 million dollar deal this offseason, after landing on the I.R. last November with a foot issue. Foot issues ain’t nothing to fuck with *sung to the Wu-Tang Clan Ain’t Nuthin’ to Fuck With” melody. Kroft proved the Wu right, when he broke his foot in late May and will be sidelined for the next 3-4 months. I could see Kroft starting the year on the PUP. On the same day, Jason Croom also left OTAs, though the extent of his injury is uncertain. The immediate path to the starting job for Knox is a real thing.
The Bills had next to nothing at the position last year, but in prior seasons, Tight End has been a priority in their passing attack. With six new lineman, John Brown, Cole Beasley, Devin Singletary, T.J. Yeldon and Knox added to the offensive mix, this could be a sneaky good offense in 2019.
From what I’ve seen, subjectively on film, and always take those words with a grain of salt – Knox is explosive off the line of scrimmage and legit playmaker with the ball in his hands. His limited, but remarkable 16.2 YPR (88th percentile) verifies what I’m seeing. He can play all three downs, can block in both the run and pass game and was lined up in-line, in the backfield, outside -the guy is versatile. Knox, if given the opportunity, should be a much better NFL tight end than he showcased in college.
***When to Target in Fantasy Drafts***
Rookie Draft: Late Round 3-Round 4
Dynasty Startup Draft: Round 12+
Season-Long Draft: Late Round Flier
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